Construction machinery industry may enter the "adjustment year"

At this time last year, the machinery industry was once the hottest industry; but this year, the entire industry has been bleak, losing 1.18% in the first quarter. Recently, a number of brokers released the second quarter of this year's strategy report, basically giving the "synchronous market" rating to the construction machinery industry, but optimistic about the theme investment opportunities including nuclear power equipment, coal chemical equipment, water conservancy machinery and other sub-sectors. The published annual report shows that the machinery industry has temporarily bid farewell to the "high profit" era due to the slowdown in sales profit growth. Judging from the 2011 annual report published by key machinery companies, since the second half of last year, the profit and cash flow of the entire industry have reached a low point. It can be seen from the financial indicators that even the industry leaders such as Sany Heavy Industry (600031) and Zoomlion (000157) have not been able to avoid the embarrassment of lower gross profit margins and higher financial costs. The second quarter strategy report issued by China Merchants Securities (600999) believes that 2012 will be a year of adjustment for the machinery industry. In the second quarter of this year, due to the high base last year, the economic slowdown, rising costs, and the decline in corporate capital expenditures, the machinery industry is profitable. Still in the bottoming stage, it is expected to slowly pick up in the second half. Du Pu, an analyst at Bohai Securities, believes that since the main tone of the government's economic work this year is to maintain stability and control risks, this has determined that infrastructure investment cannot grow in the whole year, and real estate control policies will not be relaxed. Therefore, for the machinery industry, the macro environment in the future may be a decline in infrastructure and social investment. So, how do you view investment opportunities in the machinery industry in the “year of adjustment”? Most of the analysts interviewed believe that there are not many opportunities for the entire industry this year, but there are some thematic opportunities to grasp, especially in the second and third quarters, the machinery industry is expected to usher in a certain degree of improvement. Ma Jinhai, an analyst at Guohai Securities (000750), believes that the past three to five months are the peak season for construction machinery over the years. The sales situation in April will become the key to the trend of the construction machinery industry in the whole year. Whether the sales data is good in April will affect the judgment of the annual results. He said that the implementation of investment in related projects such as water conservancy and nuclear power is expected to make the sales performance of the construction machinery industry in the second quarter warmer than the first quarter. There are also some sub-sectors in the machinery industry that are relatively optimistic. Liu Rong, an analyst at China Merchants Securities, believes that the approval of nuclear power approval and the coal deep processing industry will introduce policy factors such as the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, which will bring certain benefits to related listed companies. In addition, farmland water related equipment related to agriculture is also high. Look at the front line.

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